Thursday, May 12, 2011

Liams Last Post : Kingspan initiated, Fyffes pleases and Petroceltic goes for the cash



Good Afternoon ,

 

Today Merrion re-initiated coverage of Kingspan with a Buy recommendation and a target price of eur7.65. I personally am very glad we have got formal coverage of this one back onstream again. Its a great company. Sure they did suffer from a big drop in the top line in the global recession but the upswing is definitely on here with 20% underlying sales growth supplemented by the benefits of the CCIE acquisition from CRH. We are looking for 26% CAGR from here for the next three years excluding any further acquisitions. Not cheap at 21x current year earnings but given the growth rates in prospect. A quality stock with strong management an excellent track record and momentum growing again. Stock has been range bound for ages it seems , the IMS this morning should ease it into a new higher range from here. I agree with the recommendation.

 

Ryanair and Aer Lingus  should benefit from the falling oil from here , we have seen the signs of investors beginning to warm to this theme.

 

CRH is still the one stock in the construction sector that we continue argue is the one to short against the secotr given its valuation and our view of its US prospects. There are easier ways to access the recovery in Europe and the more attractive parts of the USA without paying the multiples that are involved with CRH here. It has however become a great range trading stock so expect to see the bear side closed out if the stock gets back to the bottom of its range again.

 

Fyffes please d the market with an IMS and for them a welcome upgrade to guidance  helped by the weaker dollar and stronger banana prices in Europe and better efficiencies.

 

Petroceltic announced its intention to raise approximately US$60 million (£37 million)  through  an issue  of  new  ordinary shares  of   by  way of  a placing  with  both new  and existing institutional investors  to advance the  Company's enlarged  drilling and appraisal  programmes  in  Algeria,  to advance  drilling  plans  for  the Rovasenda prospect in Italy and for general corporate purposes, including  new ventures. The book will open  with immediate effect.  The  timing of  the closing of  the book,  the identity  of Placees, pricing and the basis of the allocations are at the discretion of the Company and the Joint Bookrunners.  Interesting to see Bank of America Merrill Lynch added to the corporate broking ticket. Looks ok if they are backing this one. PCI has a good story to tell. I am a fan having worked with Tom Hickey before so I am happy to follow this one from here.

 

 

Have a good evening

 

 

Liam




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