Good Afternoon ,
Another resilient day…markets range bound and it is getting almost a little tedious waiting for the big breakout…the corporate fundamentals look ok , the macro picture continues to be dominated by the Sovereign situation and no doubt markets will find themselves worried as Greece prepares to tap the sovereign debt markets later this week for the first time since the big bailout.
Irish corporate newsflow is at a seasonal low ebb but the underlying tone is ok with stocks looking resilient… the volatility is still there and there can be no complacency. We are definitely not on a smooth path by any means.
The news that Aer Lingus had agreed to sell its head quarters to the DAA was well received and has supported the share price which is finally getting back to the levels it was at just prior to the volcanic eruption. Ryanair is finding it tougher to get back to the eur4.00 level but looks ok here.
The building materials stocks are all hanging in at these levels , CRH does now look more interesting than it has in a while and I would expect that we are getting close to some deal news which would kick this one forward. The Financials have remained the problem centre of the Irish market. Irish Life the stock which has managed to disappoint and frustrate people the most since the crisis began. It is frustrating to lok at a stock where there is notionally such a potentially strong story but the management team have not managed to convince the market that they can pull off their third force plan which would allow them to reduce their reliance on wholesale funding and in the meantime the market is not happy to ascribe anything but a large negative value to the permanent TSB mortgage business.
The food stocks have quietly come to life and it is noteworthy to see the recent performance by Origin which had very much lagged its big brother Aryzta's recent run. Greencore is starting to move too thoug it needs to convincingly breakout of the range it has been in since December when the Carroll stake was placed at way too high a price.
I do think C&C is one to be long of… the world cup exit of the English team though will hardly have that much of a negative Impact as the weather pattern looks set to remain settled now for the summer… Apparently the Azores high is in the right spot this year to provide us with the best weather in
At the European close , Europe has weathered the post opening selloff in the
Have a good evening
Liam
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Liam Boggan
Merrion Stockbrokers
Tel.: 353-1-2404171
Mob:353-87-2313505
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